Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 3.632822 3.861719 4.108006 4.394611 4.721472 5.085748 5.526949
2025-10-12 3.345485 3.664262 4.028208 4.481570 5.041983 5.727966 6.659128
2025-10-19 3.126614 3.501600 3.949549 4.539063 5.320105 6.363409 7.956052
2025-10-26 2.990816 3.413608 3.938965 4.665851 5.695610 7.202151 9.837670
2025-11-02 2.826805 3.269377 3.834920 4.646852 5.858414 7.770185 11.565588
2025-11-09 2.639906 3.077744 3.646905 4.483215 5.774073 7.919490 12.604287
2025-11-16 2.498553 2.933884 3.508610 4.371326 5.746218 8.151386 13.967123
2025-11-23 2.402108 2.841968 3.432282 4.339100 5.836590 8.617076 16.278191
2025-11-30 2.330230 2.777616 3.387974 4.347958 5.993682 9.257869 19.847313
2025-12-07 2.243156 2.687005 3.299167 4.277411 5.998403 9.579050 22.859987
2025-12-14 2.138634 2.567187 3.161018 4.116521 5.816741 9.431499 23.752065
2025-12-21 2.093580 2.527877 3.137597 4.138001 5.977571 10.149868 30.790642
2025-12-28 2.090679 2.552285 3.216632 4.348773 6.573602 12.390810 71.538085
2026-01-04 2.050215 2.521186 3.210383 4.415925 6.901310 14.183783 311.951677
2026-01-11 2.007753 2.484893 3.193534 4.462842 7.200824 16.230662 NaN
2026-01-18 1.983197 2.473357 3.214401 4.580989 7.704707 19.922667 NaN
2026-01-25 1.932754 2.420456 3.164978 4.560410 7.858585 22.269421 NaN
2026-02-01 1.859388 2.330019 3.049525 4.401372 7.612966 21.899253 NaN
2026-02-08 1.800235 2.259088 2.962928 4.292795 7.489902 22.329692 NaN
2026-02-15 1.759368 2.214400 2.917313 4.261422 7.576810 24.542374 NaN
2026-02-22 1.728388 2.183520 2.892817 4.269872 7.781651 28.451951 NaN
2026-03-01 1.685773 2.133202 2.833243 4.201629 7.745042 30.118240 NaN
2026-03-08 1.629988 2.061038 2.734225 4.045969 7.418662 28.019487 NaN